Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 4 at the 54

Seattle Seahawks 6 – Los Angeles Rams 13

(:16) 4-M.Dickson punts 28 yards to LA 26, Center-46-C.Tinker, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -0.07 EP

49% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 50, worth +1.13 EP
51% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 54, worth -1.21 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (71 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model