Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Cleveland Browns 4th & 9 at the 56

Cleveland Browns 0 – Pittsburgh Steelers 0

(12:37) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 35 yards to PIT 21, Center-47-C.Hughlett. 82-S.Sims to PIT 33 for 12 yards (43-J.Johnson; 56-T.Davis).

The Three Options

GO -1.35 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 47, worth +2.76 EP
66% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 56, worth -3.45 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (73 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model