Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cleveland Browns 4th & 10 at the 56

Cleveland Browns 0 – Pittsburgh Steelers 0

(13:36) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 56 yards to end zone, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -1.37 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 46, worth +2.52 EP
68% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 56, worth -3.23 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (73 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model