Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 8 at the 75

Minnesota Vikings 0 – Indianapolis Colts 23

(9:06) 14-R.Wright punts 48 yards to IND 27, Center-42-A.DePaola, fair catch by 33-D.Flowers.

The Three Options

GO -1.72 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 67, worth +1.94 EP
61% chance to fail: Indianapolis Colts takes over around their own 75, worth -4.09 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model