Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Las Vegas Raiders 4th & 10 at the 76

Las Vegas Raiders 7 – Seattle Seahawks 10

(2:52) 6-A.Cole punts 50 yards to SEA 26, Center-47-T.Sieg. 31-D.Dallas to SEA 37 for 11 yards (58-D.Butler; 59-L.Masterson).

The Three Options

GO -2.36 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 66, worth +1.32 EP
63% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 76, worth -4.57 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (93 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model