Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Green Bay Packers 4th & 15 at the 99

Green Bay Packers 6 – Tennessee Titans 7

(3:29) 16-P.O'Donnell punts 40 yards to GB 41, Center-56-J.Coco, downed by GB-20-R.Ford.

The Three Options

GO -4.08 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 84, worth +0.70 EP
69% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 99, worth -6.26 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (116 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model