Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 6 at the 60

Los Angeles Rams 3 – Arizona Cardinals 17

(9:05) 11-R.Dixon punts 60 yards to end zone, Center-42-M.Orzech, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -0.97 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 54, worth +2.50 EP
59% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 60, worth -3.36 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model