Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 13 at the 65

Minnesota Vikings 7 – Washington Commanders 10

(4:43) 14-R.Wright punts 60 yards to WAS 5, Center-42-A.DePaola. 15-D.Milne pushed ob at WAS 22 for 17 yards (42-A.DePaola; 45-T.Dye).

The Three Options

GO -1.61 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 52, worth +2.72 EP
69% chance to fail: Washington Commanders takes over around their own 65, worth -3.58 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (82 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model