Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Arizona Cardinals 4th & 15 at the 54

Arizona Cardinals 3 – Minnesota Vikings 7

(15:00) 14-A.Lee punts 37 yards to MIN 17, Center-46-A.Brewer, fair catch by 5-J.Reagor.

The Three Options

GO -2.00 EP

27% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 39, worth +2.95 EP
73% chance to fail: Minnesota Vikings takes over around their own 54, worth -3.83 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (71 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model