Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 14 at the 75

Los Angeles Chargers 16 – Seattle Seahawks 27

(12:56) 16-J.Scott punts 38 yards to SEA 37, Center-47-J.Harris, downed by LAC-36-J.Taylor. LAC-94-C.Rumph was injured during the play.

The Three Options

GO -2.04 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 61, worth +2.14 EP
67% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 75, worth -4.09 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model