Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 15 at the 58

Los Angeles Chargers 14 – Seattle Seahawks 24

(:34) 16-J.Scott punts 49 yards to SEA 9, Center-47-J.Harris, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -0.81 EP

30% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 43, worth +1.87 EP
70% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 58, worth -1.96 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (75 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model