Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 New York Giants 4th & 14 at the 55

New York Giants 7 – Jacksonville Jaguars 8

(4:18) 6-J.Gillan punts 34 yards to JAX 21, Center-58-C.Kreiter, downed by NYG-49-T.Fox.

The Three Options

GO -1.55 EP

27% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 41, worth +2.90 EP
73% chance to fail: Jacksonville Jaguars takes over around their own 55, worth -3.18 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (72 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model