Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Washington Commanders 4th & 11 at the 82

Washington Commanders 0 – Tennessee Titans 0

(6:39) 5-T.Way punts 34 yards to TEN 48, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, downed by WAS-41-J.Williams.

The Three Options

GO -2.56 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 71, worth +1.60 EP
66% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 82, worth -4.68 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (99 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model