Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 11 at the 92

Dallas Cowboys 22 – Washington Commanders 10

(11:28) 5-B.Anger punts 22 yards to DAL 30, Center-44-J.McQuaide, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.94 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 81, worth +0.95 EP
62% chance to fail: Washington Commanders takes over around their own 92, worth -5.37 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (109 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model