Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Carolina Panthers 4th & 19 at the 80

Carolina Panthers 10 – New Orleans Saints 0

(10:18) 10-J.Hekker punts 59 yards to NO 21, Center-44-J.Jansen. 5-J.Landry pushed ob at NO 35 for 14 yards (80-I.Thomas; 42-S.Franklin).

The Three Options

GO -2.81 EP

23% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 61, worth +2.31 EP
77% chance to fail: New Orleans Saints takes over around their own 80, worth -4.36 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (97 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model