Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Jets 4th & 8 at the 73

New York Jets 6 – Cincinnati Bengals 20

(4:43) 7-B.Mann punts 47 yards to CIN 26, Center-42-T.Hennessy. 11-T.Taylor to CIN 34 for 8 yards (26-B.Echols).

The Three Options

GO -1.64 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +2.00 EP
62% chance to fail: Cincinnati Bengals takes over around their own 73, worth -3.87 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model