Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 6 at the 69

Philadelphia Eagles 14 – Minnesota Vikings 7

(6:28) 8-A.Siposs punts 43 yards to MIN 26, Center-45-R.Lovato, fair catch by 5-J.Reagor.

The Three Options

GO -1.23 EP

44% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 63, worth +1.99 EP
56% chance to fail: Minnesota Vikings takes over around their own 69, worth -3.76 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model