Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 8 at the 75

Pittsburgh Steelers 0 – Kansas City Chiefs 0

(11:05) 6-P.Harvin punts 56 yards to KC 19, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 17-M.Hardman to KC 20 for 1 yard (48-D.Tuszka; 35-A.Maulet).

The Three Options

GO -2.49 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 67, worth +1.11 EP
63% chance to fail: Kansas City Chiefs takes over around their own 75, worth -4.58 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model