Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 5 at the 76

Minnesota Vikings 10 – Green Bay Packers 37

(7:28) 3-J.Berry punts 64 yards to GB 12, Center-42-A.DePaola. 82-D.Moore to GB 14 for 2 yards (20-H.Hand).

The Three Options

GO -1.57 EP

48% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 71, worth +1.34 EP
52% chance to fail: Green Bay Packers takes over around their own 76, worth -4.32 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (93 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model