Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 10 at the 63

Minnesota Vikings 0 – Los Angeles Rams 7

(12:17) 3-J.Berry punts 47 yards to LA 16, Center-42-A.DePaola. 19-B.Powell ran ob at LA 30 for 14 yards (45-T.Dye).

The Three Options

GO -1.10 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 53, worth +2.92 EP
65% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 63, worth -3.25 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model