Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 6 at the 79

Seattle Seahawks 0 – Los Angeles Rams 3

(4:51) 4-M.Dickson punts 54 yards to LA 25, Center-69-T.Ott. 19-B.Powell to LA 25 for no gain (42-J.Jones).

The Three Options

GO -2.09 EP

43% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 73, worth +1.05 EP
57% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 79, worth -4.50 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (96 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model