Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 9 at the 80

Dallas Cowboys 13 – New Orleans Saints 7

(13:36) 5-B.Anger punts 59 yards to NO 21, Center-44-J.McQuaide, fair catch by 11-D.Harris.

The Three Options

GO -2.34 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 71, worth +1.30 EP
61% chance to fail: New Orleans Saints takes over around their own 80, worth -4.69 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (97 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model