Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 13 at the 86

Los Angeles Chargers 17 – Minnesota Vikings 13

(6:37) 1-T.Long punts 59 yards to MIN 27, Center-54-M.Overton. 12-D.Westbrook to MIN 34 for 7 yards (82-S.Anderson, 36-T.Marshall).

The Three Options

GO -2.94 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 73, worth +1.18 EP
66% chance to fail: Minnesota Vikings takes over around their own 86, worth -5.09 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (103 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model