Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Kansas City Chiefs 4th & 8 at the 61

Kansas City Chiefs 14 – New York Giants 10

(9:45) 5-T.Townsend punts 43 yards to NYG 18, Center-41-J.Winchester, fair catch by 89-K.Toney.

The Three Options

GO -0.88 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 53, worth +2.71 EP
59% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 61, worth -3.39 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (78 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model