Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 New Orleans Saints 4th & 13 at the 57

New Orleans Saints 10 – Seattle Seahawks 7

(6:41) 4-B.Gillikin punts 41 yards to SEA 16, Center-49-Z.Wood, fair catch by 18-F.Swain.

The Three Options

GO -1.12 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 44, worth +2.95 EP
69% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 57, worth -2.95 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (74 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model