Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Kansas City Chiefs 4th & 11 at the 65

Kansas City Chiefs 0 – Tennessee Titans 14

(14:52) 5-T.Townsend punts 41 yards to TEN 24, Center-41-J.Winchester, fair catch by 12-M.Kinsey.

The Three Options

GO -1.48 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 54, worth +2.37 EP
63% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 65, worth -3.78 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (82 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model