Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Washington Commanders 4th & 5 at the 94

Washington Commanders 13 – New Orleans Saints 13

(:19) 5-T.Way punts 56 yards to NO 38, Center-54-C.Cheeseman. 41-A.Kamara to WAS 49 for 13 yards (47-K.Hudson).

The Three Options

GO -2.62 EP

49% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 89, worth +0.03 EP
51% chance to fail: New Orleans Saints takes over around their own 94, worth -5.15 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (111 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model