Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 6 at the 71

Minnesota Vikings 33 – Arizona Cardinals 34

(2:52) 3-J.Berry punts 32 yards to ARI 39, Center-42-A.DePaola, fair catch by 4-R.Moore.

The Three Options

GO -1.58 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.28 EP
59% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 71, worth -3.57 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model