Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Las Vegas Raiders 4th & 13 at the 62

Las Vegas Raiders 7 – Los Angeles Chargers 0

(12:04) 6-A.Cole punts 55 yards to LAC 7, Center-47-T.Sieg. 20-D.King to LAC 17 for 10 yards (22-K.Nixon).

The Three Options

GO -1.73 EP

30% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 49, worth +2.58 EP
70% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 62, worth -3.54 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model