Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 12 at the 56

Dallas Cowboys 6 – Philadelphia Eagles 10

(4:52) 6-C.Jones punts 56 yards to end zone, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -1.14 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 44, worth +2.95 EP
68% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 56, worth -3.05 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (73 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model