Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 7 at the 80

Los Angeles Rams 28 – Seattle Seahawks 12

(4:43) 6-J.Hekker punts 55 yards to SEA 25, Center-44-J.McQuaide. 83-D.Moore MUFFS catch, touched at SEA 25, recovered by SEA-28-U.Amadi at SEA 18.

The Three Options

GO -2.32 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 73, worth +0.87 EP
60% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 80, worth -4.44 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (97 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model