Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 16 at the 84

Seattle Seahawks 0 – Philadelphia Eagles 0

(11:58) 4-M.Dickson punts 27 yards to SEA 43, Center-69-T.Ott, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -3.32 EP

29% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 68, worth +1.08 EP
71% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 84, worth -5.14 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (101 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model