Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 5 at the 80

Philadelphia Eagles 3 – Seattle Seahawks 10

(1:56) 1-C.Johnston punts 37 yards to SEA 43, Center-45-R.Lovato, fair catch by 83-D.Moore.

The Three Options

GO -1.76 EP

47% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 75, worth +1.22 EP
53% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 80, worth -4.36 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (97 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model