Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 12 at the 80

Pittsburgh Steelers 0 – Cleveland Browns 7

(14:04) (Punt formation) 4-J.Berry punts 57 yards to CLE 23, Center-57-K.Canaday, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.79 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 68, worth +1.16 EP
68% chance to fail: Cleveland Browns takes over around their own 80, worth -4.63 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (97 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model