Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cincinnati Bengals 4th & 7 at the 77

Cincinnati Bengals 7 – Las Vegas Raiders 7

(5:23) 10-K.Huber punts 57 yards to LV 20, Center-46-C.Harris, fair catch by 11-T.Davis.

The Three Options

GO -2.19 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.14 EP
60% chance to fail: Las Vegas Raiders takes over around their own 77, worth -4.45 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (94 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model