Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 6 at the 67

Seattle Seahawks 0 – San Francisco 49ers 10

(:40) 4-M.Dickson punts 43 yards to SF 24, Center-69-T.Ott. 13-R.James Jr. to SF 26 for 2 yards (57-C.Barton).

The Three Options

GO -1.49 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 61, worth +1.88 EP
59% chance to fail: San Francisco 49ers takes over around their own 67, worth -3.80 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model