Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 8 at the 54

New York Giants 13 – New York Jets 14

(:24) 9-R.Dixon punts 54 yards to end zone, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -0.61 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 46, worth +1.82 EP
66% chance to fail: New York Jets takes over around their own 54, worth -1.87 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (71 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model