Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Green Bay Packers 4th & 8 at the 75

Green Bay Packers 0 – Los Angeles Chargers 9

(13:28) 6-J.Scott punts 52 yards to LAC 23, Center-43-H.Bradley. 20-D.King to LAC 23 for no gain (25-W.Redmond).

The Three Options

GO -1.91 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 67, worth +1.50 EP
58% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 75, worth -4.36 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model