Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 San Francisco 49ers 4th & 10 at the 60

San Francisco 49ers 14 – Cleveland Browns 3

(8:39) 6-M.Wishnowsky punts 38 yards to CLE 22, Center-89-G.Sanborn, fair catch by 80-J.Landry.

The Three Options

GO -1.13 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 50, worth +2.78 EP
67% chance to fail: Cleveland Browns takes over around their own 60, worth -3.08 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model