Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 6 at the 71

Seattle Seahawks 20 – Arizona Cardinals 3

(13:40) 4-M.Dickson punts 51 yards to ARI 20, Center-69-T.Ott, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.46 EP

44% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.70 EP
56% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 71, worth -3.99 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model