Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 9 at the 63

Dallas Cowboys 10 – Miami Dolphins 6

(3:18) (Punt formation) 6-C.Jones punts 46 yards to MIA 17, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.06 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 54, worth +2.49 EP
60% chance to fail: Miami Dolphins takes over around their own 63, worth -3.38 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model