Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 9 at the 54

Pittsburgh Steelers 0 – Seattle Seahawks 0

(1:30) (Punt formation) 4-J.Berry punts 38 yards to SEA 16, Center-57-K.Canaday, fair catch by 16-T.Lockett.

The Three Options

GO -0.63 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 45, worth +3.04 EP
66% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 54, worth -2.56 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (71 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model