Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 6 at the 64

Seattle Seahawks 7 – Pittsburgh Steelers 7

(6:04) (Punt formation) 4-M.Dickson punts 47 yards to PIT 17, Center-69-T.Ott. 18-D.Johnson pushed ob at PIT 28 for 11 yards (27-M.Blair).

The Three Options

GO -0.42 EP

45% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 58, worth +2.53 EP
55% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 64, worth -2.81 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (81 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model