Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 13 at the 78

Dallas Cowboys 0 – Washington Commanders 7

(12:57) 6-C.Jones punts 52 yards to WAS 26, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, fair catch by 18-T.Quinn.

The Three Options

GO -2.45 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.63 EP
66% chance to fail: Washington Commanders takes over around their own 78, worth -4.51 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (95 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model