Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 15 at the 75

Los Angeles Rams 24 – Arizona Cardinals 9

(:35) 6-J.Hekker punts 59 yards to ARI 16, Center-44-J.McQuaide. 12-P.Cooper pushed ob at ARI 17 for 1 yard (37-S.Shields).

The Three Options

GO -2.45 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.90 EP
69% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 75, worth -4.38 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model