Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 12 at the 69

Minnesota Vikings 0 – Seattle Seahawks 3

(11:33) 6-M.Wile punts 46 yards to SEA 23, Center-47-K.McDermott, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.07 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 57, worth +2.05 EP
68% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 69, worth -4.01 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model