Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Green Bay Packers 4th & 20 at the 67

Green Bay Packers 7 – Atlanta Falcons 7

(15:00) 6-J.Scott punts 45 yards to ATL 22, Center-43-H.Bradley, fair catch by 14-J.Hardy.

The Three Options

GO -2.05 EP

28% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 47, worth +2.95 EP
72% chance to fail: Atlanta Falcons takes over around their own 67, worth -3.96 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model