Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 11 at the 60

Dallas Cowboys 7 – Washington Commanders 0

(15:00) (Punt formation) 6-C.Jones punts 51 yards to WAS 9, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, fair catch by 14-T.Quinn.

The Three Options

GO -1.13 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 49, worth +2.96 EP
67% chance to fail: Washington Commanders takes over around their own 60, worth -3.11 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model