Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Washington Commanders 4th & 7 at the 62

Washington Commanders 7 – Dallas Cowboys 10

(12:12) (Punt formation) 5-T.Way punts 54 yards to DAL 8, Center-57-N.Sundberg, fair catch by 11-C.Beasley.

The Three Options

GO -1.28 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +2.29 EP
62% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 62, worth -3.51 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model