Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Washington Commanders 4th & 15 at the 80

Washington Commanders 7 – Dallas Cowboys 10

(1:09) (Punt formation) 5-T.Way punts 40 yards to DAL 40, Center-57-N.Sundberg, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.44 EP

29% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.17 EP
71% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 80, worth -3.92 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (97 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model